Sunday, 29 April 2012

Romney Nomination in Doubt – Brokered Convention Likely

April 24, 2012. Des Moines. Two networks yesterday, CNBC and MSNBC, broadcast a little known fact – Ron Paul appears to be winning the Republican nomination for President. When the popular Texas Congressman repeatedly assured supporters that the race was about delegates, not beauty contests, he apparently knew what he was talking about. Now, after three more states locked in delegates to the GOP nominating convention – CO, MN and IA – indicators point to a brokered convention with a possible, even probable, Ron Paul victory.

Mitt Romney in a panic

The only report announcing the news of another Paul victory yesterday was the Doug Wead Blog. That write-up, which included the headline, ‘Romney in a Panic’, was picked-up and reprinted by a number of independent news outlets like RT News and The Daily Paul. Wead’s conclusion is based on a number of factors. First and foremost, Ron Paul continues to win more delegates than Mitt Romney during each state’s respective slating processes. Additionally, the writer points to drastic, last-minute changes to GOP procedure showing an attempt to limit the Paul vote. Some measures include a new poll tax in Washington and robo-calls in New York telling Republican voters that only Mitt Romney remains in the race.

What has the GOP power-brokers and their candidate in such a panic? In three short words – Colorado, Minnesota, Iowa.

Keep in mind that every major US news outlet continues to show Texas Congressman Ron Paul in last place for the GOP nomination and with only 75 delegates. View Politico's delegate tracker as an example. They show Rep. Paul winning 3 delegates in Colorado, 17 in Minnesota and 1 in Iowa. Those networks however, have based their numbers on which candidate each state’s delegates are pledged or likely to vote for. The more important number is who they actually do vote for. And in that race, the only race that matters, Ron Paul is shocking the political world.

[Posted at the SpookyWeather blog, April 29th, 2012.]


steven andresen said...


I was under the impression that in the Republican party the voters in each state decided the delegates that went to their convention. And, with that assumption under my belt, I thought the fact that Paul was losing the primaries, as reported in the MSM, meant he need to, but wasn't, making arguments to attract the voting public.

Well, why am I so stupid to think that the Republicans are any different than the Democrats.

Paul's real strategy seems to have been about delegates anyway, and not necessarily about voters.


So, maybe this strategy is the best one. And maybe he knows lots more about how to win party races than I do. I hope he has a strategy for the convention.

The other strategy, where we realize that the donkeys and elephants are symbols of one big party, is that if the establishment doesn't like the candidate of its own party, they destroy that candidate's election organization and strategy. They do this because they would rather a Democrat, in power who is owned by the corporations is much better than a Republican who is not.

It's happened vise versa.

I hope he has a strategy for that eventuality.

SpookyOne said...


Vote fraud and physical blocking of delegates at the national convention will stop Paul unless he can find a way to combat that.

I hope, if there is a battle there, it'll be as fair as it can be so that Paul has a decent chance.

As for those primaries, I suspect there's been a level of vote fraud going on. We have had videos of local counting not matching with the final State tallies.

Spook !