Saturday, 28 July 2012

Will Downing Street Memo Recur on Iran?

Recent remarks by Sir John Sawers, who heads Britain’s MI6 (the secret intelligence service that is Britain’s CIA counterpart), leave us wondering if Sawers is preparing to “fix” intelligence on Iran, as his immediate predecessor, Sir John Scarlett, did on Iraq.

Scarlett’s pre–Iraq War role in creating “dodgy dossiers” hyping the threat of nonexistent “weapons of mass destruction” is relatively well known. On July 4, the red warning light for politicization was again flashing brightly in London, as Sawers told British senior civil servants that Iran is “two years away” from becoming a “nuclear-weapons state.” How did Sawers come up with “two years?”

Since late 2007, the benchmark for weighing Iran’s nuclear program has been the unanimous assessment by all 16 U.S. intelligence agencies that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in late 2003 and that as of mid-2007 had not restarted it. Those judgments have been re-validated every year since, despite strong pressure to bow to more ominous — but evidence-starved — assessments by Israel and its neoconservative supporters
A great article on not-so-covert plans to destabilise Iran from ex-MI5 officer Annie Machon and ex-CIA analyst Ray McGovern.

[Posted at the SpookyWeather blog, July 28th, 2012.]

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