Tuesday, 27 November 2018

The Real Reason Behind Ukraine's Sudden Martial Law


The Duran’s Alex Christoforou and International Affairs and Security Analyst via Moscow, Mark Sleboda take a look at the real reason behind Ukraine President Petro Poroshenko's Kerch Strait provocation, and how it has less to do with conflict towards Russia and more to do with self preservation, as Ukraine's '8% approval rating' President.



BACKGROUND: The Ukrainian regime had been detaining Russian flagged civilian vessels in the Sea of Azov and militarising the area that is supposed to be jointly controlled by both countries. It appears the Russians have had enough of these shenanigans and used overwhelming force to cut out the Ukrainians. Also remember that Ukraine has a land blockade running against the people living in Crimea.

The Russian Government must seriously be thinking about launching a military drive along the coast so that the Donbass region can be linked up with Crimea in order to improve the overall security situation. The problem is that this will be seen as an act of provocation and might invite Western intervention. The best case scenario for Russia would be to counter attack against a land invasion by Ukraine against the Donbass territories. Perhaps Russia will engage in further efforts to provoke a general attack? The current Russian strategy has been to wait for the Government of Ukraine to collapse under the weight of its own corruption.

If the hardliner Yulia Tymoshenko becomes President in the upcoming election, then we may well see escalated activity in Eastern Ukraine.

One correction. The Ukrainian tugboat that was hit didn't turn into the Russian ship. It simply refused to turn around and was rammed by the Russian ship. The account of the second encounter is correct, where the Russians did fire upon the Ukrainian ships.

Related:

‘West doesn’t pay attention to any wrongdoings Ukraine does’ – Russian UN diplomat


[Posted at the SpookyWeather blog, November 27th, 2018.]

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